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Post-Gazette beat writers Dejan Kovacevic and Chuck Finder blog about the Pittsburgh Baseball Club.

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Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay

By Dejan Kovacevic | 1:56 p.m. Wednesday

The Pirates and Tampa Bay continue to discuss Jason Bay, a process that became deep yesterday, and two prospect names known to be in the mix on the Rays' end are shortstop Reid Brignac and pitcher Jeremy Hellickson.

Brignac, 22, is 6 feet 3, 180 pounds, and was the Rays' minor league player of the year in 2006. He is batting .254 in 90 games for Class AAA Durham. Tampa is so deep at shortstop -- including recent No. 1 overall draft pick Tim Beckham -- that he might not be missed.

Hellickson, 21, was drafted out of high school and moved through the system slowly, but he was 13-3 with a 2.67 ERA last year in low Class A and 7-1 with a 2.00 ERA in high A this year before moving up to Class AA Montgomery, where he is 1-3 with a 4.58 ERA in seven starts. One scout for another team told me this afternoon "he would be a great pickup" for the Pirates.

To be clear, although these names have come up, that does not mean they could be lumped together. Brignac was ranked No. 3 in the rich Tampa system by Baseball America, Hellickson No. 8, and early indications have been that Bay will reap no bounty of prospects.

More on St. Louis in a bit.

UPDATE 2:23 p.m.: An American League team source just called from Toronto (where the Rays are playing): Says Brignac and pitcher Jeff Niemann are the names coming up most often. Another source -- not with a team -- says the Rays will not part with the following three pitchers: David Price, Wade Davis and Hellickson. But a push from other teams could change that if the Pirates are eager for Hellickson, as it seems they are. Niemann, 25, is a 6-foot-7 guy capable of throwing hard, but he is not seen in the same class as the other three even though he is BA's No. 7 guy.

2:27 p.m.: Neglected to mention this earlier, but Tampa sure is making things sound as if something will get done. The Pirates? Not so sure but, as the notebook mentioned earlier today, about 50-50.

2:31 p.m.: OK, to St. Louis: The Cardinals are interested in Bay, but not John Grabow (which surprised me to learn), according to a source there. They absolutely, positively will not give up outfielder Colby Rasmus, one of the best prospects in the game, but the Pirates probably would be able to pick off the list of pretty much any pitching prospect they have. But that is not nearly as enticing as it might sound: The Cardinals' system is basically Rasmus. Chris Perez, their No. 2 prospect, is a reliever in Class AAA Memphis. The top starter is the No. 4 prospect, Jaime Garcia, also in Class AAA. ... Be very sure that the Pirates would prefer to make a deal with Tampa, as it will be quality rather than quantity that they want in return for Bay, their biggest trading chip in years.

2:43 p.m.: The Mets, who had been in this, seem out.

3:09 p.m.: The St. Petersburg Times' Heater blog mentions outfielder Fernando Perez as a possible component in the Bay deal, but that most certainly could not be as a primary component. For one, he is 25 and, given Tampa's needs, if he were worth it, he already would be in the Rays' outfield. For another, outfield help is just about all the Pirates have, even if Bay is gone. The Times also mentions Niemann, and it reports that Rays manager Joe Maddon this morning told reporters in Toronto: "There are still some things on the table, and they're interesting, actually, so we'll see. I mean really interesting, possibly."

3:41 p.m.: Still nothing on the shortstop front, according to outside-the-Pirates sources. Looks like Jack Wilson will stay but, obviously, things can change in one phone call.

4 p.m.: Twenty-four hours until the deadline.

4:43 p.m.: Good luck trying to get info out of 115 Federal Street. Really hunkered down over there, and it is not because they are plotting how to beat Aaron Cook tonight.

4:46 p.m.: St. Petersburg Times reports "nothing imminent" and "a lot to be resolved" regarding Rays and Bay. Speculates that Pirates are fishing for better.

4:56 p.m.: ESPN's Jayson Stark supports the Brignac-Niemann foundation for the trade.

5:09 p.m.: Scout with whom I just spoke -- not from the Pirates -- is not terribly excited by Niemann. Called him "OK" as far as a prospect, mostly because he is a really big guy who could hold up well. Just loves Hellickson. ... Having difficulty unearthing Grabow stuff, but I remind from the Notebook today that expectations for a return are low here.

5:12 p.m.: Luis Munoz claimed off waivers by Seattle, assigned to West Tennessee. That is a surprise. Munoz has been awful at every level this season.

5:34 p.m.: Rays' charter is in the air, and it is a three-hour flight from Toronto to Tampa, so chances of an announcement while the team is at 35,000 feet seems remote. Stuff like this invariably gets run by the manager. Also, just want to throw this out there: The Rays are looking for relief and, although I never have heard them connected to John Grabow, it certainly seems possible -- pure speculation here -- that the same thing could happen with this deal as what happened when Brian Cashman approached the Pirates about Xavier Nady and Damaso Marte last week.

5:41 p.m.: Totally frivolous update, but this spring, Munoz mistook me for a clubhouse attendant after a game at Legends Field and asked me for a Sprite. Your PBC's middle infielders, seated nearby, got quite the kick out of that.

6:03 p.m.: A source on the scene in San Diego, where Arizona is playing, emails me with definitive word that the Diamondbacks are not a player for Bay. And this is not speculation. Moreover, it sounds like the Diamondbacks might never have been a player for Bay. ... One wonders how many suitors there actually are beyond Tampa and St. Louis.

6:58 p.m.: Stark reports a slowdown in talks.

7:05 p.m.: Bay takes the field at PNC Park. Now, if he is dealt, everyone will know.

7:19 p.m.: Word from Oakland: The Athletics are not as interested in Bay as the Pirates would like them to be.

8:52 p.m.: I am aware of the three-team scenario that has been floated in some circles -- some more definitively than others -- that would get Bay involved in a three-way trade between Boston and Florida that would send Bay to the Red Sox, Manny Ramirez to the Marlins and Jeremy Hermida to the Pirates. But I just spoke with a source in Miami who threw water over the whole thing, even the more commonly reported Ramirez-Florida straight-up suggestions. Waiting for independent confirmation either way.

9:09 p.m.: St. Louis sounds out of the Bay running.


Posted Jul 30 2008, 01:56 PM by Dejan Kovacevic

Comments

SandlotWizard wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:18 PM

Bringac and Hellickson are interesting.  

Rasmus from Stl would be sexy.

Would be nice to get a potential front-line starter in a deal for Bay.  And acquiring Brignac would allow them to shop Wilson more seriously.

GetYoungTalent wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:24 PM

They need to get 2 of Tampa's Top 10. With that deep system, and Bay being a perennial All-Star left fielder, anything less is unacceptable.  What I don't understand is, with the current financial system in MLB, why the Pirates don't allot much more money to bringing in high quality players in the draft EVERY YEAR!  The Yankees and Red Sox have deep farm systems because they go for quantity AND quality, all the while they have been drafting behind the Bucco's for the last 15+ years.  Yes, go scout in Latin America, and yes, go pick the top guys in the draft and pay them whatever it takes. Build it from the bottom up, so one player does not make or break our team.  

Jim Socks wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:27 PM

Dejan - I love this blog and hate it at the same time.  I can't get any work done because I'm constantly checking what's become my favorite source of news.  

I followed along with every post that you made all weekend during the trade.  Thanks for keeping us up to date on everything that you're hearing..... I think....

Now to try to get back to work.

SeanE wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:32 PM

Regardless of what we would get for Bay, the backlash in trading him for prospects would dwarf the outrage of the Nady trade whatever the return.  Nady was viewed as a player who, with Boras as an agent, would certainly be gone after next year.  It was understandable to trade him knowing that.  Bay is a different animal.  The pereception is that he could be resigned to a long term extension at a friendly price.  He has stated his desire to stay on numerous occasioins.  He is productive and relatively young.  

Dejan.  Any indication that management is taking this into account in their discussions?

Drunken Pirate wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:33 PM

Looks like I might need to pick a new favorite player soon...but I hope not, this doesn't sound like getting "blown away" to me.

JRoth wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:33 PM

Given the Pirates' finances, I think it would be foolish to part with Bay for less than what we're talking about here with the Rays - a legit (if not Jack-level) SS <i>and</i> a 1-2 starter. Otherwise we're still hamstrung at SS and needing that good pitcher, with no chips to trade for one. Bay is clearly worth the difference between a 4 pitcher and a 2 pitcher.

If Bay goes, does the OF become McLouth-Morgan-Pearce? At that point do they think about bringing up McCutcheon if/when one of the latter two fails?

SRC22 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:33 PM

Please, please, please NOT St. Louis. I do not want to see Jason in Cardinal Red nor do I want him torching us every time he plays us.

The Rays deal seems solid. Brignac has been a hot item for a while now. A lot of teams are after him. He is better than Bixler, that's for sure. But if you get him you must deal Jack. Even if it's just for a couple of AA medium range pitching prospects, you must deal him.

PittFan85 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:34 PM

Just for kicks I checked out the Tampa paper, and all they do is link everything back here. Good to know you're three steps ahead of the competition.

Also, I think this is why I see so many Clemente jerseys. Sure he was a great player, but he's also one of the few the Pirates won't be trading away.

WTM wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:35 PM

Niemann's already had shoulder surgery once.  It wasn't a torn labrum, but still, no thanks.  There's a long history of standout Rice pitchers getting hurt and generally not living up to their hype as pros.  Niemann, Wade Townsend, Phil Humber, Matt Anderson, Kenny Baugh.  Stay away.

Brignac isn't exactly having a big year, either.  If the top guys, like Hellickson and Wade Davis, are off-limits, there isn't a worthwhile deal here for the Pirates.

GrahamKoonce'ssweetpackagedeal wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:37 PM

I agree with Jim Socks... productivity is at an all time low now that you are blogging.

I think if we get Brignac and Niemann plus some other MLB experienced guys like a Dan Johnson (high OB 1B) or Willy Aybar at 3B (basically stuck on the bench behind Longoria for eternity and maybe another prospect stuck behind Longoria in 3B Chris Nowak... This would have to be done

GrahamKoonce'ssweetpackagedeal wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:39 PM

Tampa probably doesn't even have a beat writer

pghboyinca wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:40 PM

 This is the type of trade we should be pursuing. 21 or 22 year old guys with upside. Please get something like this done and then do the same with Wilson and Grabow. I can habg with 2-3 more years of sub .500 baseball as long as there is some hope. Read Steve Phillips and all hte other chats today and they are all negative on the Nady/Marte trade from the Pirates perspective. As much as I love the Bucs I have to agree. 3 26 year old pitcherswith limited upsid enad  ahead case for 2 significant teade pieces a week before the deadline reeked of Littlefield type thinking. You can't tell me tha tdeal would not have been on the table 30 seconds before the deadline so why do it with a week left? I love NH's ability to pick up cheap pieces that contribute(see Michaels,Dennyl Bautista, etc.. but with Salomen torres and the package of Nady/Marte he got sub par returns for quality.  

azbucsfan wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:41 PM

I really hope we don't send him to St. Louis.  I hate seeing Ramirez 20 times a year, Bay would be just as bad.

Maddamma wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:44 PM

Jason Bay is a salary bargain for a player of his production.  That should ramp up the leverage.  If the Pirates make a deal, it better be for "can't miss" propspects.  Huntington will not have a chip this big to play for years. He's got to get this done right, if at all.  If only he still had Marte in play...

GrahamKoonce'ssweetpackagedeal wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:44 PM

I am probably in the minority, but I would rather have Niemann than Hellickson. He is close to the bigs and has been dominate of late at AAA.

For us to trade Bay to the Cardinals we better not do it unless we can get someone of Bobby Hill's stature.

GrahamKoonce'ssweetpackagedeal wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:47 PM

Wow those Cardinals prospects are terrible.

Drunken Pirate wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:50 PM

I agree with Maddamma...our return would have to be "can't miss" prospects, not just "upside." Doesn't sound like we're being "blown away," so I hope Bay stays.

Matt Wein wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:52 PM

The Bucs aren't really in a position where they have to deal Bay, and you, Dejan, have made it clear that while they're taking all kinds of calls on him, they're not shopping him. Doesn't it stand to reason that this should drive the asking price up? Because he has a year left on his deal, is set to make a totally affordable salary in that year, and has shown this year that his knees are healthy and that his power is back, it only makes sense that Huntington could command a higher asking price. Neal's the one with the leverage here. Shouldn't teams seeking that extra bat for the stretch run be willing to give up a little more to get a guy who isn't a two-month rental?

If Bay isn't going to bring a bounty of prospects, why deal him now? He's not worth demonstrably less at the winter meetings, and you only get into dangerous, value-harming territory if he's not re-signed by May or June of next season. If a team wants Bay and his 4.2 pitches per plate appearance, they should have to cough up some legitimate talent.

RayGuy3 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:55 PM

I'm a Rays fan living in Tampa but have friends in Pittsburgh... I hear Bay is an upstanding guy and a real clubhouse kind of character guy.. do you agree?  I think the Hellickson and Brignac trade would do your team good. I wouldn't be so sure I'd want Niemann because he's been known to show his attitude on occasions towards teammates. I know the Rays aren't parting with Price and I think they've put Davis on the same pedestal.

atkpitt12 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 2:58 PM

Has anyone noticed that Nady has done little to nothing with the yanks?  He has one hit and it was a meaningless homerun in a huge yankees loss.  

Jason5280 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:01 PM

Great updates DK.

If we trade Bay, it's not change, it's a revolution. I'm all for it.

GetYoungTalent wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:01 PM

Elite prospects for elite players.  Jason Bay puts Tampa Bay over the top in the competitive AL East.  We need to get blown away (wouldn't that be something you'd have to be an idiot to pass up?).  Doesn't sound like we've come close to that yet.

GrahamKoonce'ssweetpackagedeal wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:02 PM

A bounty of prospects he may not bring, but if we get niemann (17&0 as a sophomore at Rice University a few years back) and Brignac this is us receiving two high impact guys who are valued less by a team that has a rediculous amount of minor league talent since they have been picking the guys we have been passing on under the littlefield regime.

thanks again to bucs fever on the last discussion topic for pointing out the link to career numbers on Niemann, Brignac and Wade Davis.

WTM wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:04 PM

The Mets' system is so bad they should be trying to get prospects FROM the Pirates.  I don't see how they were ever in it.

SandlotWizard wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:05 PM

Gotta be Brignac and Hellickson.  Can't go for Niemann, b/c now we have 3 Niemann's, and he's just not enough.

It is a big advantage to have two or three teams interested in Bay.  It makes it more likely that we can get the top guys, and puts the pressure on TB to compete with their offers.

They won't give up the top guys until they have to.  Hopefully, NH will tell them they have to.

Allison wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:10 PM

Are we going to keep Doug Mientkiewicz ?  We definitely need to.  The guy is awesome on defense and can swing a bat.  

GrahamKoonce'ssweetpackagedeal wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:11 PM

Best reason to trade Bay to Tampa is that we make our deal with the Yankees look worse for them when Tampa wins the division.

Also keep in mind that if we get Brignac and a major league reliever we can move Grabow and Wilson for more bounty, and lets face it Pirates do it all for the bounty. Let's just hope it's not the kind of treasure that gets buried for a few years. (sorry for the lame joke)

ETC wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:11 PM

Ahhh, wouldn't it be nice if *our* team had a bunch of prospects and we could deem a few of them truly "untouchables"...

That's the difference between the Pirates and the Rays.  And why we have such a ridiculous need to have any kind of depth in our system.  And why we now have to trade away Bay, exactly the type of player (and contract) that every other team in the league would want.  Frankly, I hope it happens, and that we reap a nice bounty in return.  I can't wait to have "untouchables."

And St. Louis is smoking something if they make Colby Rasmus an "untouchable" when pondering a Jason Bay deal.  Idiots.

G-Man wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:12 PM

Maybe we'll get a clue how close this is to a deal when DK publishes the starting lineups. If a deal is legitimately close, I'm sure Bay will not start.

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on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:13 PM

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scottauth wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:15 PM

@atkpitt12

It's only been a few games, wait until you have a large sample size to state "...Nady has done little to nothing..."

WTM wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:16 PM

Looks to me like Fernando Perez would strictly play the Kevin Thompson role at Indianapolis, since a Bay deal would be followed by a McCutchen callup, leaving Indy short of bodies with Pearce already up.  IOW, a throw-in.  If they're really at that level of detail, though, it could be an indication that something is close to happening.

Joseph wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:19 PM

@WTM ~ good point!

mattenat wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:20 PM

I wonder what else the Buccos would have to include w/ Jack Wilson to pry Matt Kemp free of the Dodgers.  I don't want to pile onto a package-deal bandwagon or anything, but if the Bucs get back Brignac it seems only sensible that Wilson go now or this off-season.  Seems like he's worth more to the Dodgers and maybe the Red Sox now.  Would be a sweet 3-way deal with the Dodgers (or 2 part deal) if Matt Kemp was one of the guys coming back, as well, to step right into the outfield replacing Bay.

pirateradio wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:26 PM

Inside sources have it that the Rays will trade David Price and Reid Brignac for Jason Bay if the Pirates include Bob Smizik in the deal.

WTM wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:26 PM

The only way Matt Kemp is coming from the Dodgers is in a deal involving Bay.  And even that would be tough to pull off.

GrahamKoonce'ssweetpackagedeal wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:31 PM

@mattenat makes a great point... If we can dupe the dodgers out of Kemp for Jackie Flash or even get Andy laroche out of it. a trade with Reid and an SP would be sick.

I will be sick to my stomach if we end up with Ben Zobrist instead of Reid Brignac, even if that gets us Wade Davis instead. (think Brian Bixler versus Brent Lillbridge with an extra 3 years on Zobrist age wise)

web.minorleaguebaseball.com/.../stats.jsp

48jj wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:31 PM

atkpitt12  Nady had his second Yankees hit today, an RBI ground-rule double.

diehard wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:34 PM

It may help us, but I hope JBay doesn't end up in Tampa, for his sake.  Ask Carl Crawford how hard Tropicana is on the knees.  It would probably shorten Bay's career by 3-5 years.

azbucsfan wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:37 PM

@pirateradio - LOL!!!

I think this has to be at least as good (if not better) than the Giles deal a few years back.  Bay is close to the level Giles was, several years younger, and under contract for next year.  Without two top impact prospects, I wouldn't make the deal now.

48jj wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:39 PM

I'd actually LOVE it if Bay went to the Cardinals. How much fun would that be if he could kill Bucco pitching every time he faced them and if the crowd would still cheer for him when he came back to PNC? That would serve Nutting right!

RayGuy3 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:39 PM

The sources including Price in any deal are BOGUS. He will not be included in any deal, even if the whole Pirates organization is included....according to Friedman

Fair Warning wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:41 PM

Maybe I'm just a little fuzzy from 12 minutes and 1 second of "By-tor and the Snow Dog" reverberating my cranium, but isn't this another deja vu situation?  The Pirates have a good player that they might want to consider keeping long term since ownership did promise an end to the mass exodus of players leaving Pittsburgh...a promise that they promptly went back on roughly 10 minutes after PNC Park opened its' doors...instead the thinking is "trade 'em for prospects that we'll be trading away in a few years once they develope."  Thus the vicious cycle continues.

48jj wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:43 PM

diehard  I had been wondering the same thing myself earlier in the day. Hopefully, if he's traded there, Bay would realize this and just become a free agent in 2009 when his contract is finished. I like Bay a lot and hope he has a really succesful career.

Matt Wein wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:44 PM

They might not even have to give up Bay to get a guy like Kemp from the Dodgers. Ned Colletti seems to like overpaying in trades, which pairs beautifully with his disdain for good baseball players.

Dejan Kovacevic wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:45 PM

I wrote very clearly above that David Price would NOT be part of any deal. I wrote that a few days ago from Denver, as well.

GrahamKoonce'ssweetpackagedeal wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:47 PM

haha Rayguy thinks Smizik is an actual Pirate... Two haps for him

48jj wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:51 PM

atkpitt12  I posted too soon. Nady has now hit another RBI 2B today.

SandlotWizard wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:52 PM

Any word on Grabow?  Staying or going?

G-Man wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:53 PM

I doubt Jerry Micco would be willing to part with Smizik. And I hear Kovacevic is "untouchable," too. ;)

Jeff Tatusko wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:57 PM

Dejan--with apologies if I'm remembering incorrectly, but I seem to recall a story about Jack Wilson playing out his current contract & hanging it up to be with his family. Is that correct, & if so, would that change his value at all? (not that I'd be happy to see him go)

Yotum wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:57 PM

What's the story with Brignac? I read in some places he's the best defensive infielder in the Rays' system, then I read he's more offensively advanced and a defensive liability.

Cave Bonifield wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 3:59 PM

If we do trade Bay it leaves our outfield in shambles.  Other than Nate, there is nothing.  The two corners at this point would be untested rookies.  There would have to be another deal in the works to bring in an outfielder with some productive ML service time.   If it was Bay for Brignac and Hellickson, Jack would need to be dealt for the outfielder unless Baldelli is included in the deal and his health is an issue.  

GrahamKoonce'ssweetpackagedeal wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:00 PM

Micco better be careful or he'll get fleeced and let a great prospect like Chico Harlan walk again to the Washinton Post

DMac wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:04 PM

I may get pitchforks pointed at me for this, but here it goes...

There IS a CF currently assigned to Altoona that has major league experience.  His bat may be a little slow right now, but his defense isn't...Chris Duffy, anyone?  He may be off the DL for that ear infection this weekend, and he's already on the 40-man roster -- no need to start McCutcheon's clock ticking if NH doesn't think he's ready.

And I don't think we should let Jack Wilson go...remember those 2 months he was gone?  Yikes!

And definitely, Kovacevic is untouchable.  ;-)

rogero wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:04 PM

If they can get Brignac with a prospect starter for Bay, the next step is to send Jack to LA for McDonald and, why not, LaRoche, who the Dodgers seem to have so litttle regard for they brought in Blake.

RO

PittFan85 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:04 PM

If they do send Bay to Tampa, I feel it's only fair they send Ryan Malone back as part of the deal.

Drunken Pirate wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:05 PM

I'm going to be pretty bummed if Bay is traded regardless of what we get, but especially if we aren't blown away...I'm probably going to go into Operation Shutdown

pirateradio wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:07 PM

G-Man: Yeah, DK is untouchable. Young, top performance, and still a really high-ceiling prospect. Also, I think he has a no-trade clause...but I hear that he really likes Florida...

The Rays aren't sold on Smizik. Despite the power he'd bring to a line-up, there are a lot of Qs about team chemistry & whether he'd be a negative influence on their young players.

artgrz2000 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:08 PM

The way I see it, the Pirates would be crazy to trade Jason Bay. With him, Doumit, and McClouth, you have the middle of the order set for the next 3 years at least. With Laroche, Sanchez and Wilson, that's 6 of 8 position players above if not well above average. And best of all, the cost for this lineup is well within limits. Which brings me to the next point.

Pitching is obviously weak, especially the rotation, but next year and the year after 1 or 2 top of the rotation guys will make all the difference.

So c'mon management, keep the position player core together, find us a #1 starter, and maybe, just maybe, sooner than later............... A WINNING TEAM!!

Bless my heart I still remember the slowest man in America sliding under Spanky's tag. It's been too long for this town. Imagine winning baseball at PNC. For now its still a dream, but I remember, yes I remember.

Drunken Pirate wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:12 PM

Yeah, might as well bring up Duffy if Bay is traded. The season is already lost at this point, but if we trade Bay we might as well demote McLouth and Doumit to save service time for them. This team is depressing...

marty34156 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:13 PM

Wow this whole time i feared bay would be traded away for nothing and it looks like tis gonna happen i thought the nady/marte deal was a steal for the yankees this would be absolutely roberry for the rays and the way i look at it the only place we have depth is outfield so why not build around what we have and sign bay and mclouth move mclouth long term move mclouth to right and call up mccuthchen

Nick Fruscello wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:16 PM

The Pirates scored the 3rd most runs in the NL (one run behind the Phillies for second place) and were dead last in pitching.  The outfield with Nady and Bay was the driving force behind that offense and now its being dismantled by our own GM.  I'm really interested in hearing how Huntington thinks destroying the best part of our team will make the Pirates better.

JRoth wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:17 PM

Jeff Tatusko-

Yes, there was such a story about Jack wanting to retire soon. But I doubt it will impact his trade value - most trades really only looks at the contract years (except for arbitration guys that the receiving team might want to extend, but that's surely not Jack). Besides, he's only said it once, and November 2009 is a long way away....

G-Man wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:17 PM

pirateradio:

>>DK is untouchable. Young, top performance...<<  You touch on an intersting point about DK. I knew he was relatively young, but his blog profile says he's minus 1 years old. I suspect he's part of that ring we've heard about of Little League World Series players who fudge their ages.

Baywatch wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:19 PM

You brought another tear to my eye, artgrz2000. But ... GET THEE BEHIND ME, SATAN ... sentiment must take a backseat to talent.

Cave Bonifield wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:19 PM

DMac

Mclouth, Duffy, Pierce.  Scary but not absurd, if only for two months.  Duffy may be the only OF to play less than Baldelli.

Too bad Red Sox aren't interested in JBay.  Grabow and Bay for either Buchholz or Bowden,and two players from Lowrey, Tejeda, Masterson, Anderson.  I'm delerious, time to walk the dog.

GrahamKoonce'ssweetpackagedeal wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:20 PM

ungh... This is not the end of the world if Bay gets dealt for Brignac and Niemann plus others. Michaels, yes Jason Michaels can play left no problem and we can bring up Nyjer for the fourth outfielder spot.

Bay is the man, but to get our starting SS for the next 6 years and our 1 or 2 started for the next 6 is way better than a guy who would be the 3rd best player on most teams at best... The sky isn't falling

Batavia wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:20 PM

If they are going to trade Bay, they should go all the way and also trade Wilson, Grabow and anyone else for whom they can get something of value (not garbage ala Dave Littlefield).

I do trust NH to not trade for the sake of trading or dumping salary.

Fair Warning wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:21 PM

That's not their m.o. Marty34156.  They prefer to trade known commodities for cheap labor, keeping their perpetual rebuilding project going for all eternity.  

Baywatch wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:21 PM

Kovacevic, the lineup card, or it's off to the showers for you ... unless, of course, eets Florida you really want ... No?

scottauth wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:22 PM

@Nick Fruscello

Ok, so we scored all those runs and look where it got us, still under .500.

Trading Bay now for a bounty of prospects is the right thing to do. I'll miss the guy, but it's time to say goodbye.

Nick Fruscello wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:29 PM

scottauth

They're under .500 because the pitching was bad.  If they could keep this offense intact and fix the pitching, just a little, by signing a free agent or get a better pitching coach, they would be at .500 or better.

If they were getting the best prospects these teams have to offer, I would agree with trading him.  But the Pirates are getting prospects that other teams don't want anymore and trading our best player for these prospects is absurd.  

waittilnextyear wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:32 PM

From artgrz2000:

"The way I see it, the Pirates would be crazy to trade Jason Bay. With him, Doumit, and McClouth, you have the middle of the order set for the next 3 years at least. With Laroche, Sanchez and Wilson, that's 6 of 8 position players above if not well above average. And best of all, the cost for this lineup is well within limits. Which brings me to the next point."

By all means, keep this 50-57 bunch together.  The Burgh needs more of this - 15 years isn't nearly enough.

Allison wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:36 PM

PittFan85:

Brilliant idea!!  

PirateBoss wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:36 PM

If we get the trade done with Tampa, we should trade Jack for McDonald and LaRoche or Ethier.

Conor wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:36 PM

Great job, Dejan, for covering the trade talk.  Every other source I have looked at has quoted you in the rumors.  Thanks for keeping us and everyone else updated.  

Baywatch wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:37 PM

At 73 comments, are we going for the record here? DINNER BREAK, for crying out loud, and some of you need to walk your dogs and get back to work! Er ... uh ... I already have a life, you know!

JuniataMike wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:40 PM

I agree whole-heartedly with waittillnextyear.

If this team has the worst starting pitching in the majors by a large margin, is 1 new starter really going to make a huge difference. I feel like they need at least 2 high end starters before a difference will be seen. Great pitching always wins over great hitting.

TheBigGuy wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:42 PM

ESPN is reporting the Yanks just picked up Pudge from Detroit...No word yet on what the tigers got for the aging post-HGH catcher.  What are they chances that it was better then what the buccos got back for a 30 year old right fielder who is batting .330 and one of the best left handed relief pitchers in the gam?

CA Pirate wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:45 PM

The only team that seems serious about Bay is the Rays. So far I haven't heard much that impresses me about a possible package so I expect Bay to stay.

Yotum wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:46 PM

Farnsworth for Pudge...meh.

Admiral Bucco wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:46 PM

If you consider Kyle Farnsworth better than the Pirates deal, then I must say I'm sorry for you

David in Atl wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:48 PM

Pudge was acquired for Kyle Farnsworth. I think the Bucs did better.

sarcastic sword wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:51 PM

Hard to beleive that NYYgave up Farnsworth..........He's been lights out - retiring 27 or 28 in a row in July.........IS Marte the sole 8th inning guy before Rivera?

WizImp wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:52 PM

"What are they chances that it was better then what the buccos got back for a 30 year old right fielder who is batting .330 and one of the best left handed relief pitchers in the gam?"

HaHAHaHAHA...

How about less than zero?   (For the record it apparently was Kyle Farnsworth - what a joke)  

www.pinstripealley.com/.../ivan-rodriguez-traded-to-t

People seriously need to quit paying attention to the idiots on ESPN.   Just because they say that the Yankees robbed the Pirates doesn't make it so.  The folks at places that are actually in the business of evaluating talent (like Baseball America and Baseball Prospectus) think the Pirates got the better end of that deal.

PirateBoss wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:54 PM

I would try to get Jacob McGee added into the deal.  He's out for the year and probably most with surgery but before he went down he was a top five prospect in the Rays organization.

Tiiimmmmmmmmmyyyyyy wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:55 PM

According to Jayson Stark at ESPN, the Rays have made Hellickson and untouchable, along with Davis and Price.  If that's the case then I don't think the Rays can possibly be offering anything close to fair value.

sports.espn.go.com/.../story

Yotum wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:55 PM

I'd have to say Marte made Farnsworth expendable to an extent. And I'm not sure if this was pointed at me, but I certianly don't consider Farnsworth better than anything we got.

Pgh_fan_in_NH wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:56 PM

Singining a single pitcher is nothing. A team on average uses about 10-12 different starters a season. The Pirates at this point are scraping to get 5, and most of the ones they are coming up with do not deserve the start. Add to that there is no depth at the infield positions  or catcher. They are always one injury away from disaster (Wilson, Doumit, Maholm).  Even if they got CC Sabatia and keep Bay and Nady they still would not be in the playoff hunt. They need to build up the farm so that in a couple of years they have a steady stream of talent coming up to replace injured and under performing players (not to mention free agents). That is the only way the PBC returns to being a winning franchise.

GoneQuiet wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:57 PM

Five points:

1) Pirates management is obviously focused on how to take complete control of the weather so that they wouldn't have to face Aaron Cook tonight.

2) Jeff Niemann? Really? I mean, really? You're do just as well to send Ian Snell out there in eight-inch platform shoes.

3) Rob Biertempfel has last night's lineup on his blog. Does that help? Actually, that's about all he has on his blog. You think the Trib even knows that the deadline is tomorrow?

4) Conversely, this blog is very, very good.

5) My overall productivity decreases by about 70% around the trade deadline every year, and the existence of this blog is not going to help that. Not at all.

SmallBeast wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:58 PM

Dunno about Brignac, but Jeff Niemann isn't really very exciting to me. In fact, he's a little scary. I get the Rays not wanting to deal Price, but I agree that their keeping Hellickson and Davis off the table doesn't bode well for any deal that might be made.

PirateBoss wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:58 PM

By the way, the McGee comment is to sweeten the deal and nothing more.

Buc Fever wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:58 PM

Nick,

I think you must be unaware of how deep the Rays farm system is. It's not like here where our 4th best prospect will most likely never see the light of day in a major league ballpark. I'd go as far as to say that if we got Brignac and one of the two pitchers mentioned (Niemann & Hellickson), they would instantly be above everyone in our system except McCutchen (and maybe Tabata). The 10th best prospect in Tampa would probably make the top 5 on most teams prospect chart, that's how ridiculously deep they are.

Keep in mind that both Hellickson & Niemann (who was drafted 4th overall by the way) are averaging nearly 1K/inning and yet they can't even crack the top 6 in TB.

Brignac + either of those guys is well worth it in my opinion if they throw in another prospect or two with some projectability.

JRoth wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:59 PM

<i>a guy who would be the 3rd best player on most teams at best.</i>

Is this about Bay!? What teams are you talking about? Which OF? Take away Bay's bad knee year, and his <b>average</b> OPS+ is 140; Beltran has only reached that level once, same with Pat Burrell and Chase Utley. In other words, there are only a few teams in all of baseball where Bay wouldn't instantly be their best OF, and one of their 2 best offensive players.

It's amazing how people underrate Bay. With outsiders, it's to be expected - he plays for the hapless Pirates. But there's no excuse for Bucs fans to be that way.

Yotum wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 4:59 PM

I can't say for sure where I read it, but I saw where one source considered McGee to be an untouchable because he may be positioned to be the Rays' closer of the future (though he has been a starter to my knowledge). However, unless the Rays are willing to toss in a premier P prospect (Hellickson, McGee) I don't know if I'd pull the trigger. Maybe on a deal including Brignac, Niemann, Perez and a fringe prospect, but that still seems light on pitching, no?

SmallBeast wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:00 PM

Actually, re-reading the Stark thing, it's not clear to me that the Rays are saying Hellickson and Davis are untouchable.

It looks more like Stark saying that HE thinks the Pirates are asking for too much in either one of them.

PirateBoss wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:06 PM

If the Rays will not trade Hellickson (Davis and Price are off the board), then we should be asking for Brignac, Niemann, and McGee.  In all honesty, I think Hellickson is the next best option after Price but I can only go by their minor league stats...

JRoth wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:13 PM

My $.02 on whether the Bucs could/should do something short term:

Add a frontline starter to this team, plus a Suppan-style, reliable innings-eater. Now you've got Sabathia, Maholm, Suppan, Dumatrait, and Duke, plus the 3 guys from the Yankees and Snell and Gorzo. That is a HUGE upgrade over what they have (and will stop the bullpen needing to throw 25-30 innings/week). Combine that with the position players we have, and you've got a contender. Simple as that. The 2008 team, with replacement-level starters in place of Gorzo, Snell, and Morris, is 5-10 games over .500, plus has split the season series with the Cubs.

I know self-doubt is in the blood of Pittsburghers (and no one more than Bucs fans), but why is this so hard to see? Does it fall apart if everyone gets hurt? Sure. It also falls apart if we trade all our good players (save Doumit and McLouth) for 50-50 prospects.

I know it sounds like Astro-Land, but the Astros don't have a league-dominating offense <i>or</i> pitching - they're more like the early-00s Bucs, with 4 MLB position players, 2 MLB starters, and a bunch of has-beens and never-weres. That's not this team.

mattenat wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:14 PM

@jroth i totally agree about Bay being better then the 3rd best player on most teams, but it's not really fair to compare Utley to a LF.  An OPS+ of 128 for his career to go along with being one of the top fielders at one of the most difficult (unlike LF) defensive positions is saying something.  Especially when the most other 2B don't hit nearly as well.

RayGuy3 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:15 PM

I think Davis would be stretching it...but Hellickson no. I really think he could be included in the deal.  And I'm sure the Rays brass are prying every part of their hand getting rid of him. They'll realize its going to require him and include him in the deal to complete.  The other question is trying to get Grabow in the deal, and what its going to require.  Including Grabow in the deal will probably be the only way the Rays will agree.

Cave Bonifield wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:20 PM

Report out of Boston that the Sox are talking to the Braves about lefty reliever Will Ohman for AA pitcher Daniel Bard.

WTM wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:20 PM

All this talk about Bay and not a word of concern over the Pirates losing LUIS MUNOZ??  Where is everybody's head at??

JKR wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:23 PM

Rays fan here to congratulate Dejan on a great blog.  Our Rays blog at the St. Pete Times pretty much amounts to pre-game lineups and post-game wrap-ups.  I was frustrated at the total lack of updates, so I'm glad to see someone's getting the job done.

Brignac was originally brought in for his offense, but he's really worked on his defense while in the minors.  I think that proves that he's willing to work, which is always a nice trait to have in a prospect.  I'd be sorry to see him go, but the Rays are suddenly very deep at SS.

Niemann is very good - if Sonnanstine or Jackson weren't pitching as well as they are, he'd probably be with the Rays right now.

I'm personally not sold that this deal will happen unless the Pirates are really happy with the Rays' offer.  The Rays were meant to contend in a year or two, not this year - I don't think the front office wants to mortgage the future for a run this year.  The team spent most of its existence overvaluing veteran players over prospects (don't worry, though - I'm not comparing Bay to Greg Vaughn) - they will think long and hard before they make a trade like this.

All that said, I'd probably sell some of my relatives without blinking if it would help get Bay.  The headline writes itself - BAY TO BAY.

dharr18 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:23 PM

Does this mean Bay will be pulled after the 1st inning tonight since he is listed as starting in left?

G-Man wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:23 PM

DK wrote about the scout's opinion: "...Niemann. Called him "OK" as far as a prospect, mostly because he is a really big guy who could hold up well." Frankly, doesn't that sound like something someone might have once said about JVB?

mattenat wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:24 PM

@jroth Because the likelihood of the Bucs being able to land Sabathia and Suppon-style pitchers in the same offseason is not realistic in the current economics of baseball.  Even the Yankees don't usually add two starters like that in the same offseason (not just because of cost, but also because of competition).  Even if that were the case, Doumit's done it for one season, he's far from a sure thing.  Laroche and Sanchez are below average.  The Bucs are getting nothing from 3B.  Nady was having a career year and McLouth is also far from a sure thing to keep it up, either.  Plus, I doubt replacement level starters would be capable of replacement level production with the current defense (worst in the league) and if it were so easy to find those guys, we'd have more then the one (Duke) in the rotation.  And there'd still be no depth.

I'd love the Bucs to be winners, but they've gotten a lot of bounces their way already this season (a bunch of career offensive years, leading the league in clutch hitting, Maholm and Duke outperforming expectations) and they're till 12 games back.  The Rays are competitive because they have a farm system that's produced stars (Longoria, Upton, Crawford, Navarro, Kazmir, Sonnestine, etc) are still loaded (evidenced by the untouchables) and have organizational depth to make more deals.  Say what you want about the Nady-Marte deal, but the Pirates don't have 3 pitchers in AAA they could include in a deal like that (much less the guys in the majors that the Yankees have).

Hopefully we'll have a winner in the future, but the way we're going to get there is with more then band-aids.

Fair Warning wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:27 PM

I agreee with the premise of what JRoth wrote.  This team as it was constructed at the start of the season had a winning offense.  Unfortunitely said offense wasn't/isn't able to overcome one of the worst starting rotations in the history of western civilization.

Minus Nady, I still feel the Pirates could hit well enough next year to make things interesting with a revamped starting rotation, but that takes a commitment from ownership to spend like an actual big league operation...that won't happen.  They'll tell you it's about rebuilding, in reality I'll always believe it's about saving money.

PirateBoss wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:28 PM

I agree.  If the Pirates are going to trade Bay they should get Brignac and Hellickson.  If they settle for Niemann, then they better get McGee.  I am not a big Niemann fan after reading about his this afternoon.

lost_zero wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:29 PM

We lost Lu-Mu?  NOOOOOOO!!!!!

GrahamKoonce'ssweetpackagedeal wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:33 PM

When I say Bay is the third best on most teams I mean player overall.

For the Rays specifically, I would say BJ "I'm not Brian Bullington" Upton, Evan "Don't call me Eva" Longoria, and Carl "I swing at everything" Crawford are all better than Bay.

For the Cardinals, I got Pujols better than him

For the Mets, I got Reyes, Wright and Beltran ahead

jbrindger wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:34 PM

Would this team score runs?

Andrew McCutchen

Freddy Sanchez

Nate McLouth

Ryan Doumit

Adam LaRoche

Steve Pearce

Neil Walker

Reid Brignac

MetsBlog.com » Buzz: Rays, Brignac and Trading Bay wrote MetsBlog.com &raquo; Buzz: Rays, Brignac and Trading Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:35 PM

Pingback from  MetsBlog.com    » Buzz: Rays, Brignac and Trading Bay

GrahamKoonce'ssweetpackagedeal wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:38 PM

@lost_zero

I agree 100%. A very dark day in the burgh, the likes of which haven't been seen since Derek Bell rode his yaught into the sunset

WTM wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:39 PM

"Would this team score runs?

Andrew McCutchen

Freddy Sanchez

Nate McLouth

Ryan Doumit

Adam LaRoche

Steve Pearce

Neil Walker

Reid Brignac"

Sure, now and then.

GrahamKoonce'ssweetpackagedeal wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:42 PM

I still want to see the buccos swap grabow for Brett Myers, so he can come to the burgh and him and his woman can go grab some dinner with James Harrison, Najeh and Cedric and their respective girlfriends/wives

akaufman23 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:42 PM

jbrindger:

If you replace Walker with Pedro Alvarez it will in 2010, which is probably the target for competing for a playoff spot... Not just .500, but a playoff spot.

I am against trading Bay, but if they do trade him they better get Hellickson and then use the money to sign Scheppers. Then they might have something to look forward to in a couple years.

dharr18 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:43 PM

Dejan,

 Haven't you said in the past multi player deals never happen?  This could be two in a week for one team.

PirateBoss wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:45 PM

We have seen them score more runs than most teams and they are 50-57.  It's obvious that is not working so they need to acquire some top tier pitching prospects and look to groom McCutchen, Tabata, Alverez (if they ever get him signed) over the next year or two.

GrahamKoonce'ssweetpackagedeal wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:50 PM

That Mets blog is scary... it says that the As and Dbacks are also involved. Last time I checked the Dbacks had zero prospects left and the As scare the hell out of me, although they now have a gazillion prospects... interesting

Dejan, any word on the interest level from the Dbacks or Athletics?

JKR wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:54 PM

My apologies to the St. Pete Times blog:  they actually have had a few updates today - most of which were credited to this blog.  They already used the Bay to Bay (?) headline too.

I saw a lot of these comments about the Pirates being an established starter or two away from being a winning team.  All I can say is that we Rays fans had been saying that for a long time (yes, I know 10 years isn't that long).  Honestly, the only parts of this year's team that weren't developed in our farm system or traded here as prospects were mostly cast-offs that no one had any faith in but the Rays scouts.  Carlos Pena was written off; Percival was practically retired; the Astros obviously didn't feel very good about Dan Wheeler considering their bullpen was already shaky at the time they traded him.

Small-market teams can't count on ever landing the big free agent, because the big-market clubs will ALWAYS get who they want.  So if a small-market team wants to invest, they should spend money on prospects and a killer talent scout.

If I were the Bucs, I'd start with the Mets - they seem to like trading away promising young pitching talent.

jbrindger wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 5:58 PM

Package deal John Grabow and Jason Bay for:

Jeremy Hellickson

Reid Brignac

Jeff Niemann

Chris Mason

Desmond Jennings

WTM wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 6:00 PM

"Haven't you said in the past multi player deals never happen?"

I suppose I should let Dejan speak for himself, but what he's said in the past is that package deals, where one team throws together a bunch of guys it doesn't need to get one top player, don't happen.

Drunken Pirate wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 6:05 PM

I'm surprised you didn't mistake Munoz for a clubhouse attendant

GrahamKoonce'ssweetpackagedeal wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 6:06 PM

I like @jbrindger's package deal...

Although I doubt we can get Jennings and Mason just because they are struggling a bit this year or both Niemann and Hellickson.

But that would be a deal impossible to pass up that makes us a better team almost for sure down the road.

Also I gotta say that when Russell went to Burnett to get a lefty out in the 8th that had to have something to do with grabow being on his way out. If Sean gets a similar opportunity tonight the Grabow era is likely over

48jj wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 6:26 PM

Would this team score runs?

Andrew McCutchen - hasn't proven himself at AAA yet

Freddy Sanchez - only if he doesn't have another injury

Nate McLouth - only if this year is not a mirage

Ryan Doumit - same as McLouth

Adam LaRoche - only if it's after mid-June

Steve Pearce - 2007 aside, same as McCutchen

Neil Walker - same as McCutchen

Reid Brignac - don't know anything about this one

I thought several people thought the Nady/Marte trade was a good one. If it is, then haven't the pitching woes been solved and the lineup shouldn't be changed any further?

I am not going to like Bay being traded at all. I'll be furious if he brings back anything less than an elite pitching prospect. And if so, then all my baseball money will be spent on teams other than the Buccos.

WTM wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 6:27 PM

"I'm surprised you didn't mistake Munoz for a clubhouse attendant"

That wouldn't be as bad as the Mariners mistaking him for a pitcher.

48jj wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 6:28 PM

Hey DK ....

did you get Munoz the Sprite he wanted?

CA Pirate wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 6:41 PM

Today and tomorrow really are the most important dates for the Pirates. I think a lot  more important is which draftees the Pirates sign before the August 15th deadline. I think Alvarez is probable because the Pirates really need to make this signing, Scheppers is probable if reasonably health and maybe one other in their top 10 draftees. A good return for Bay would be a bonus to the draft.

If you add Grabow to Bay, it will make little difference. Relievers (apart from good closers) simply don't bring all that much in return usually.

CA Pirate wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 6:46 PM

48jj  - The Nady/Marte trade did almost nothing to solve the long-term pitching needs of the Pirates. They are mostly a stopgap measure to ensure the Pirates actually have people capable of pitching some innings. One or two might turn out to be back of the rotation starters or good relievers but I doubt any are capable of being a #1 or #2 starter.

48jj wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 6:53 PM

CA Pirate .... I know that. It's just a large number of people think it was a good trade.

Anyone who thinks we're going to contend with the minor leaguers who will be coming up in the next couple of years is smoking something funny.

PBCRevolution wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 7:06 PM

Now Jayson Stark is hearing the Red Sox could get in on Bay if Manny is traded.... What do you guys think of that? Rays have more minor league talent...

"One possible reason those conversations between the Rays and Pirates have slowed down could involve Manny Ramirez. Officials from several teams theorized Wednesday that if the Red Sox trade away Manny, they would target Bay as a right-handed bat to replace him."- stark

Das Boot wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 7:08 PM

CA Pirate and 48jj...did you really expect a #1 or #2 type of pitcher for Marte/Nady?

Pudge just went for Farnsworth.  Bay won't go for Davis or Price.

Why would you think we could get an ace for 1/2 a year of Marte and 1.5 years of Nady?

Das Boot wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 7:08 PM

For the record...

Marte's ERA...7.00+

Nady's BA....sub-.100

azbucsfan wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 7:22 PM

PBCRevolution - I'd imagine if Manny were dealt to, say, Florida, we could be looking at Marlin prospects as well.  It's possible Boston would trade Manny for a package of prospects, then send some of those to Pittsburgh for Bay.

PBCRevolution wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 7:32 PM

azbucs- yeah, you could be right. I hope, though, that no matter what happens with Bay, people have some context and perspective. If he gets traded, don't immediately think the prospects are terrible and we got screwed, because thats just your uneducated guess.. if he doesn't get traded, don't immediately assume the pirates missed a golden opportunity, because he's just as likely to go in the offseason, when more teams can get involved. bucs fans- man, we're all so desperate for a winning season, we can't look past the forest for the sub.500 trees. I want a winning season too, but building good teams takes time. NH has been in office a short time. And he's not anything like DL.

Tiiimmmmmmmmmyyyyyy wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 7:39 PM

MLB.com has a rumor of a three way deal between Boston and Florida.  It looks like a bunch of manufactured *** to me, though, but I thought I would share.

trades.mlblogs.com/.../manny_in_threeway_deal_that_in.html

Ajumm wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 7:40 PM

I hope its the Rays, I'm headed to Tampa in Sept and I was wondering who to get on my Rays T-Shirt for the game vs the Yankees....Bay 38 would be great!

gmoney wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 7:43 PM

The MLB report is as follows:

Ramirez would go to the Marlins, while Jeremy Hermida would go to the Pirates, and Jason Bay would go to the Red Sox.

RayGuy3 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 7:49 PM

Keep this in mind, if Manny is traded to the Marlins, the Sox are seeking either Willingham or Hermida in return.  Now, would that keep the Sox in the Bay sweepstakes ? I'm sure if they acquire either one of those 2 players they're out of the Bay thing.  Plus, the Bucs are going to realize that the Rays offer better talent before tonight is over. So, I wouldn't jump on the Bay to Sox thing.

CA Pirate wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 7:53 PM

Das Boot,

You misunderstood my comment. I didn't expect a #1 or #2 for Nady/Marte. I think the Pirates got a reasonable return for Nady/Marte. What they needed most were multiple pitchers that were major league ready or close to it. The 3 pitchers are the answer to a short term desperation, not really building for the long-term. Only Tabata is a possibility for long-term building.

azbucsfan wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 7:55 PM

Yeah, this deal doesn't make a lot of sense for the Pirates.  If we were only getting one OF, we'd just keep the one that fits best here - Bay.

CA Pirate wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 7:59 PM

The MLB report sounds like a poor deal for the Pirates. The Pirates would be trading down.

Tiiimmmmmmmmmyyyyyy wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 8:02 PM

azbucsfan, its not just for the one outfielder.  Prospects would also be involved.  Will Carroll, from baseball perspective is also on the rumor.

www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered

GoBucs8 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 8:08 PM

Hate to see quality players (and stand up guys) leave the organization, but for the first time in many years I feel like there's a real plan that will actually be executed.  It still comes down to judging talent, but I think NH has had more hits than misses so far and deserves the benefit of the doubt.  How nice would it be to have a core of young talent that lets the Bucs sign a Jason Bay-type as a free agent to put us over the top?

Chicago born and raised, I grew up a Pittsburgh fan (courtesy of my dad).  I want a return to the consistent success I knew in the 70's.  I'm thinking early 70's, early 90's, the cycle is about due to repeat.....

First time poster here but avid reader - love the format and thanks to all who provide insight to the PBC that's just not available here in Cubbie-land.

azbucsfan wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 8:11 PM

Thanks for the link, Timmy (not sure how many m's that is.).  I guess we'll have to see what happens and hope for the best deal.  Maybe this will get the Rays to throw in a little more?  It seems the Rays have the best prospects to fit our needs.

KraigK wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 8:15 PM

The Bucs need to unload and rebuild unlike every season since McClatchy took control. Nobody wants to see it, but it's what has to happen for any chance of achieving success.

Pmann wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 8:41 PM

I don’t understand why the Pirates persist with the same old tired philosophy of making mid-season trades.  While some talent has been garnered over the years, more has been given up.  Most competitive teams are unwilling to part with their top prospects, and the Pirates end up giving up more valued talent for less, due to their own unwillingness to pay higher salaries down the road.  None of the Pitchers acquired from the Yankees were considered among their top prospects.  Usually, more valuable talent is gained during off-season trades.  Had the Pirates added some decent free agent pitching during the off-season, this team may have been in contention with its high-performing offense.  Ownership will not only need to be trade-wise, but also close to salary gap between the Pirates and other teams in the division to prove it is serious about winning.  Right now the Pirates are still doing it on the cheap.

PirateBoss wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 8:45 PM

I found this on ESPN:

XM radio rumor:

BoSox get:

Jason Bay

Jack Wilson

Hector Correa

Pirates get:

Jeremy Hermida

Jed Lowrie

Hunter Jones

Jai Miller

Marlins get:

Manny Ramirez

John Grabow

6M in cash

Yotum wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 8:45 PM

How do we go from talking about quality prospects from the Rays to a 3-team deal in which we get Hermida (and presumably some others)...this doesn't sound promising to me, anyone else?

azbucsfan wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 8:57 PM

Man, I don't know anything about those prospects, but if we're to give up Bay, Wilson, and Grabow, they'd better be 3 big-time prospects, one of which would need to be a SS.

RayGuy3 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 8:57 PM

Agree with ya on that one.. If your team accepts that offer they're nuts. A very important source in Tampa states we're now considering Wade Davis tonight was his last encore.  Otherwise, we would have pulled up David Price to start in AAA for this game. Brignac has homered as well.

RayGuy3 wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 9:01 PM

And finally, why would the Marlins give up Hermida??? a proven outfielder and YOUNG for a guy on his decline in Manny Ramirez and club-house killer. I'm not really sure why anyone would trade for this guy to be honest. I thought the BoSox would be stuck with him because of his salary which brings me to something else?  How can the Fish afford this guy?  If he's a rental, you'd trade Hermida for Ramirez? C'mon

KraigK wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 9:39 PM

Agree with WTM.....that lineup stinks...

PirateBoss wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Wed, Jul 30 2008 10:13 PM

www.baseballprospectus.com/unfiltered

Marlins get Manny Ramirez, one prospect (BOS), and cash (likely Ramirez’s remaining salary)

Pirates get Jeremy Hermida and three prospects (two FLO, one BOS)

Red Sox get Jason Bay and John Grabow

I sure hope we get Bowden and two other good prospects

mazfromiowa wrote re: Pirates, Rays, Cardinals discussing Bay
on Sat, Apr 4 2009 5:41 PM

I was here first