MLB Stock Market 6/26/2009

Buy - Scott Rolen (3B) - I said it back in April and I'm saying it now, Scott Rolen is back.  He still has one of the sweetest swings in baseball and looks every bit as good as he was in his prime and is batting .330 on the season (.397 in June).  The only knock against him is that his power numbers are down, but the Jays have been moving him up the order and now sits in the clean up spot and his RBI numbers are slowly rising.  Rolen is playing on one of the best offensive teams in the league and if he stays in the clean up spot, he could be a candidate for second half MVP.

(Photo by Al Messerschmidt/Getty Images Sport)

Buy - Michael Bourn (OF) - Earlier this week, I read an article in which Astros manager Cecil Cooper proclaimed that Bourn is the team's MVP so far.  High praise for a guy that's still available in almost 1/3 of leagues across ESPN fantasy baseball.  Bourn's strength is in his base stealing, but he's also a solid hitter and has scored a lot of runs.  Who couldn't use a guy like this in their lineup?  Especially in head to head and roto leagues.

Sell - Daisuke Matsuzaka (SP) - You can put him on your DL if you want, but I don't see his condition improving this year.  For the second time this year, he's on the DL with shoulder tiredness or as they're officially calling it a "mild shoulder strain".  Dead arm pitchers don't suddenly come back and pitch well.  I don't foresee Dice-K returning to form this year and therefore I feel he should be sold.

Buy - Gavin Floyd (SP) - I can't believe I'm going to do this, but here goes... its okay to pickup Gavin Floyd.  Whew!  That wasn't so bad.  Floyd pitched like a homerun derby pitcher in the first two months of the season, but since May 22nd when he shutout the Pirates, he's been phenomenal.  In the month of June, he owns a 1.56 ERA and has struck out 25 batters in 34.2 innings.  I think it may be safe to say that he's back.  If you're desperate for pitching, pick him up and hope that a boost in confidence was all he needed.

Sell - Kelly Johnson (2B) - I used to be pretty high on this guy, but since the McLouth trade he's lost his spot in the lineup and apparently lost his ability to make contact with the baseball.  Johnson is batting .132 this month and while he can be a streaky player, you can do better than him at second.

Sell - Kosuke Fukudome (OF) - Similar to the way he jumped out of the gate early last year, he's slowing down again this year.  Fukudome's numbers have just been dropping and dropping and now he's sitting on a .154 BA with 2 RBI in his last 18 games.  You may have a big game here and there out of him down the line, but I think it may be safe to say at this point that he's not a second half player.

Sell - Chris Davis (1B / 3B / OF) - Well I guess the heavier bats didn't help him either.  After starting off slow, he switched to heavier bats and the ball started flying out of the park.  Unfortunately, that didn't last and now his BA is below the mendoza line.  He has 1 HR in his last 19 games, so I think it may be time to send this Ranger off into the sunset.

Buy - Juan Rivera (OF) - Talk about coming out of nowhere.  Rivera burst onto the scene, is now batting 5th in the Angels lineup and is suddenly the hot pickup around fantasy leagues.  He had a solid May, but is having an even more productive June with 6 HR and 19 RBI in the last 20 games.  With outfielders dropping like flies this year, he's a nice part time pickup.

Buy - Cody Ross (OF) - I wasn't too sure about this one a few weeks back, but I think its about time he's made it to the Buy list.  Ross has looked very good over the past couple months and seems to only be getting better and better.  Reaching the 100 RBI plateau seems likely at this point.

Buy - Scott Richmond (SP) - With the exception of just one bad outing, Richmond has been very good in his last 8 starts including an 11 strikeout gem in Philadelphia on June 17th.  He's looked pretty good as a starter, its when he's come out of the bullpen, that's he's had trouble.

Buy - Tommy Hanson (SP) - After getting lite up for 6 runs in his MLB debut, Hanson has given up just 2 runs in his last 3 games (17 IP).  His strikeout numbers are not exactly dazzling and his control seems a bit spotty, but you can't argue with the results as he's 3-0 this year.


Posted Jun 26 2009, 07:00 AM by Nick Fruscello

Comments

Buc Fever wrote re: MLB Stock Market 6/26/2009
on Fri, Jun 26 2009 9:45 AM

Nick,

I just pulled the trigger on a huge deal in my H2H 10 team keeper league. We kept 8 players last year, 9 this year, 10 next, and so on.

I give:

Ben Zobrist (2B, SS, OF)

Jermaine Dye (OF)

I get:

Jimmy Rollins (SS)

The guy put Rollins on the block, looking for help at 2B (he had Michael Young to replace Rollins). I didn't think he'd take the bait in a keeper league...but he did. I think it's a pretty fair deal in a one year league, but in a keeper I think it's gotta favor me pretty heavily, right?

Mainly, I acquired Rollins because it gives me an incredible set of keepers for next year:

Matt Wieters - C

Mark Texiera - 1B

Jimmy Rollins - SS

David Wright - 3B

Josh Hamilton - OF

Ichiro Suzuki - OF

Jacoby Ellsbury - OF

Jake Peavy - P

Zack Greinke - P

I figure that gives me Top 3 production at pretty much every position except 2B, assuming Hamilton returns to his normal self next year. Then I can just focus on pitching in the next draft, which is my weak point this year.

Currently, the other players in my starting lineup are:

2B - Robinson Cano

Util - Andrew McCutchen

Util - Orlando Hudson

BN - Paul Konerko

BN - Jorge Posada

BN - Nate McLouth

Currently sitting in 7th place out of 10, but only 4 games out of 3rd. What are your thoughts on this team's chances for this year...and next.

Nick Fruscello wrote re: MLB Stock Market 6/26/2009
on Fri, Jun 26 2009 7:29 PM

Hey Buc Fever,

I like the team you have setup right now.  You have a strong core of players.  As you said the pitching is in need of some help, but Peavy and Greinke are a great start.  You didn't really give up anything to get a guy that was the league MVP a couple years ago.  I'm really not sure what his deal is at the plate, but with all the heavy hitters in the Phillies lineup, he'll have every chance to turn it around.  

At 2B, Orlando Hudson could be your long term answer.  He has a sweet spot in the Dodgers lineup and will see plenty of good pitches to hit as long as Manny is behind him.

One thing I would change on the keeper list is I would swap out Suzuki for McLouth.  Suzuki is 36, playing on a lousy offensive team and has virtually no power.  While McLouth is younger, a 5 tool player that was contribute to every category and plays for a team that has a fair amount of offense.  So as crazy as it may sound, I'd take McLouth over Suzuki in a heartbeat.  Maybe you could trade him now for better starting pitching.

Buc Fever wrote re: MLB Stock Market 6/26/2009
on Sat, Jun 27 2009 8:30 PM

Thanks for the advice.

I'm leaning towards keeping Suzuki because this league counts singles...so he pretty much wins me singles and keeps me competitive in batting average on a weekly basis. McLouth is more of a streaky hitter.

I have an offer out right now trying to get Carlos Beltran for Ichiro. Who out of my other players would you add to the deal if he's looking for more?

Nick Fruscello wrote re: MLB Stock Market 6/26/2009
on Mon, Jun 29 2009 9:04 AM

Well in addition to Ichiro, I probably wouldn't want to give up too much.  Look at what he needs.  If he needs 2B, offer Hudson.  If he needs a catcher offer Posada.  While the value of Beltran would exceed those two players, he may feel that filling empty holes in his lineup are more important.