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Belichick's daring gamble backfires

Monday, 4:15 p.m.

(New England Patriots coach Bill Belichick had the entire football world talking today about his ultra-daring strategy against the Indianapolis Colts Sunday night. Leading the Colts late in the game, Belichick went for it on fourth and 2 deep in his own territory. He wanted to keep the ball out of the hands of Indianapolis quarterback Peyton Manning. The strategy backfired. The Patriots did not convert, Manning got the ball and won the game.

Most people considered the strategy stupid. I liked it and thought it was worth the gamble -- although I'd have liked it better if it was fourth and 1. I like coaches who are daring and willing to stray from the conventional wisdom of the game.

Judy Battista, who reports on the NFL for the New York Times, covers all the bases on this story in her article today.  -- Bob Smizik)

November 17, 2009
N.F.L. Fast Forward

Belichick’s Latest Gamble Backfires

Forget the Barry Switzer references. Yes, Bozo the Coach, which is what The New York Post called Switzer in a headline in 1995 when his Cowboys failed to convert a fourth-down attempt at their 29-yard-line against the Eagles — made the same decision that Bill Belichick did Sunday night in the Patriots’ 35-34 loss to the Colts.

But as second-guessing continues to rage about Belichick’s stunning decision to keep his offense on the field on fourth-and-2 deep in his own territory, with quarterback Peyton Manning waiting on the opposite sideline, the best point of comparison may be Belichick himself earlier this season.

Against Atlanta on Sept. 27, Belichick went for it on fourth-and-1 from his own 24-yard line. The Patriots converted. Belichick was hailed for his you-play-to-win-the-game moxie. And in his postgame comments, he sounded strikingly the way he did Sunday night, if a lot more jovial.

“I felt like we could get a yard,” he said that day. “There would have been plenty of criticism if we didn’t. But then we were able to get that and basically hold on to the ball.”

That’s exactly what Belichick was trying to do Sunday. The differences, of course, were substantial. The Patriots were leading when Belichick made his gambit against Atlanta, too. But it was only the third quarter. There was plenty of time to recover. And with all due respect to Matt Ryan, it was not Manning who was preparing to take over if the Patriots came up short.

But the Patriots’ offense was struggling for consistency at the time, so the decision to hand off to Sammy Morris seemed outrageous then, too. It worked: the Patriots held the ball for almost the rest of the third quarter, kicked a field goal, and packed the game away. Which is why you haven’t heard much more about it until now. The Patriots, by the way, are 17th in the N.F.L. in fourth-down efficiency. They have gone for it 11 times on fourth down and converted five times.

“Bill obviously has more faith in the ability of his offense to get a yard than for his defense to keep Manning and the Colts from orchestrating a two-minute drive,” the former Ravens Coach Brian Billick said. “No one knows his team better than Bill. I do wonder what message it sends to the defensive players.”

 

Read the rest of the story here


Posted Nov 16 2009, 04:04 PM by Bob Smizik

Comments

mundyscorner99 wrote re: Belichick's daring gamble backfires
on Mon, Nov 16 2009 4:58 PM

I also do like coaches that go against unconventional wisdom, but I think I would have liked the call a little better if it was closer to mid-field.  I would have punted, but it a gutsy call for sure.  That's how life works sometimes, if it would have worked, he would have been given a lot of credit.  At the very least, I give him credit for not backing down on his reasoning on the decision.

mundyscorner99 wrote re: Belichick's daring gamble backfires
on Mon, Nov 16 2009 4:59 PM

that should say "go against conventional wisdom"

Santo Gold wrote re: Belichick's daring gamble backfires
on Mon, Nov 16 2009 5:07 PM

I understand the logic.  What do I trust more?  My great offense to gain 2 yards or my defense to stop the Colts with 2 minutes left in the game?  Given the field position and time left in the game, I think he should have punted, but I don't think his decision to go for it was the height of stupidity.

I immediately thought of Barry Switzer's call against the Eagles and how he got trashed for that.  Bellichek has accomplished more so I doubt he will be labeled as harshly as Switzer was.  He's a genius who "knows his team" if it works.

kevin morris wrote re: Belichick's daring gamble backfires
on Mon, Nov 16 2009 5:14 PM

I don't think the decision was great, but I have to give the Hood credit for knowing his own team and Manning.

One point that has been ignored by many critics- the defense still could have done their job and kept Indy out of the end zone. This decision actually gave both the offense and the defense a chance to win the game.

Freedoman wrote re: Belichick's daring gamble backfires
on Mon, Nov 16 2009 5:40 PM

From genius to cheater to idiot.................it seems like the Belichick slide could cost him a bust in Canton.

PaulH wrote re: Belichick's daring gamble backfires
on Mon, Nov 16 2009 6:18 PM

Agree Bob.

I like Belichick's move to hold the ball.

I don't  like Bill Belichick.  He is something less than a genius since we learned he was cheating for perhaps years?   And without Tom Brady, he would be something less than he is today, without the genius mantle.

Whistle Pig wrote re: Belichick's daring gamble backfires
on Mon, Nov 16 2009 8:00 PM

Wrong headline, Bob.

"Belichick's Dumb***  Gamble Blows Baltimore's Defeat into a W"

Paul, how good would Tomlin be w/ let's say Kent Nix at QB?  Not very.

Californication wrote re: Belichick's daring gamble backfires
on Mon, Nov 16 2009 8:26 PM

The logic behind punting the football at ANY time is that you are trading field position for the opportunity to score or to run out the clock if you already have the lead.

There is a successful school of thought that punting any time, anywhere on the field is NEVER the right decision.....

highschool.rivals.com/content.asp

So, the question is not why did he go for it, but why don't more coaches go for it more often!

I myself, would have punted....

ivan putski wrote re: Belichick's daring gamble backfires
on Mon, Nov 16 2009 8:31 PM

I liked it.

pittee3 wrote re: Belichick's daring gamble backfires
on Tue, Nov 17 2009 12:44 AM

I despise Belichek and still agree that he made the right call.  There have been many studies that have shown based on game data statistics, coaches should go for it on 4th down much more often then the convention.  So pretty much, anytime it is questionable whether or not to go for it, it probably the right call to go for it.

This situation was eerily similar to the Pitt-ND game where Pitt decided to punt on 4th and 2 from mid field with around 2:30 left.  You could consider Clausen the equivalent of Manning in D1 football.  DW decided to punt.  It was probably not the best call (the punt sailed into the end zone and in effect only added 20 yards to Notre Dame's drive) but it worked...

Rook wrote re: Belichick's daring gamble backfires
on Tue, Nov 17 2009 8:50 AM

Not a bad call it just didn't work, that will happen sometime.. Brady is their best player so put it in his hands. Manning has burned the pats on last minute drives the past couple years.

BlitzBurghDude wrote re: Belichick's daring gamble backfires
on Tue, Nov 17 2009 11:49 AM

NOT gutsy...

NOT smart or stupid...

ARROGANT is what it was, the team exudes it from the pompous owner down to the CHEAT who made the call himself and by extention to the smug QB as well.  

This franchise thinks they're bigger than the game, as their reckless regard for NFL rules & their penchant for circumventing them has proven.

Someone needs to remind this deplorable bunch & their assinine fanbase, that this franchise was irrelevant prior to this millenium & if not for the most obscure loophole in the NFL rulebook, paving the way to their TAINTED titles, they quite possibly still would be.  

chilco99 wrote re: Belichick's daring gamble backfires
on Tue, Nov 17 2009 11:52 AM

I like the call but being up by 6 points gives me 2nd thoughts.

Faulk made the 1st down anyway so the point is moot.

The ref's stole this one, but I own't feel bad for the Pat's and the "tuck rule" game where they robbed Oakland.

BlitzBurghDude wrote re: Belichick's daring gamble backfires
on Tue, Nov 17 2009 12:03 PM

Faulk in fact DID NOT make the first down, he came up about  half a yard short & for those with poor eyesight or lack knowledge of the game that disagree, you'll just have to accept it, because the GENIUS who sent the play in didn't even have the brains to save a timeout for a potential challenge!

 

kevin morris wrote re: Belichick's daring gamble backfires
on Tue, Nov 17 2009 1:15 PM

(Bob, feel free to use this as a column idea) I am having a hard time recalling a more detested head coach or manager than Belicheck.

(That would be a good topic, Kevin, although if presented here I'm sure a certain Penn State coach would be the runaway winner. -- Bob Smizik)

t2pyah wrote re: Belichick's daring gamble backfires
on Thu, Nov 19 2009 9:59 PM

questionable call - even with Brady behind center .....

.