By Bob Smizik | Wednesday, 12:30 a.m.
If you listen to some people, they’ll tell you that when Pitt plays Notre Dame Saturday night at Heinz Field, it will be the first real test of the season for the Panthers.
Those people would be wrong.
Notre Dame is wildly overrated. The only thing the Irish have going for themselves is their history and their recruiting reputation. On the field of play, they're not much better than the mediocre competition Pitt has faced most of this year.
The Panthers should handle the Irish and without a barrel of trouble. If they don’t, they’re not the legitimate top 10 team the polls have made them out to be.
N
or is there any indication Pitt will be more severely tested in its next two games, against West Virginia and Cincinnati. In the crazy world of college football competition, those team, one ranked fifth in the nation, are, like Pitt, unproven.
Before we get back to Notre Dame, and why Pitt should beat them, let's take a look at Cincinnati, unbeaten, tied with Pitt for first in the Big East and ranked fifth in the country.
The Bearcats haven’t beaten a quality opponent in at least two years. Their marquee wins this year are over Oregon State and South Florida , which are OK teams but not ones to test the mettle of a fifth-ranked club. Last year, against their two toughest opponents, the Bearcats lost by 26 to Oklahoma in September and by 13 to Virginia Tech in January.
This is not so much a knock on Cincinnati, Pitt or the Big East. We said the same thing about Penn State the other day and it applies to many, if not most, ranked programs. It’s the shame of college football. Teams, for the most play, play a ridiculously soft non-conference schedule and then amongst themselves. Who knows how good most of them are?
But I have a good idea how good Notre Dame is and it's not very.
The Irish are 6-3 against a soft schedule. Their marquee win is by four points over Boston College, a team that is 6-3 overall and 3-2 in the weak Atlantic Coast Conference. Notre Dame has lost to Michigan, which is 1-5 in the Big Ten, and to Navy, which lost to Temple.
In addition to Boston College, Notre Dame has defeated Nevada (6-0 in the WAC but 0-3 against BCS conference opposition; Michigan State (3-3 in the Big Ten); Purdue (3-3 in the Big Ten); Washington (2-4 in the Pac-10) and Washington State (0-6 in the Pac-10).
What is so special about that?
Pitt and Notre Dame have one common opponent -- Navy. Notre Dame famously lost to Navy, 23-21, Saturday. Pitt beat Navy, 27-14, on Sept. 19.
Navy’s triple option is tough to defend because teams don’t often see it. But Pitt and Notre Dame should be familiar with the Midshipmen. Pitt has played them the past three years. Notre Dame plays them every year.
Against Pitt, Navy ran for 129 yards and had total offense of 218. Against Notre Dame, Navy run for 348 yards and had total offense of 404. Navy was shut down by Pitt. Navy ran wild against Notre Dame.
Over the past three seasons, Notre Dame, with some of the best talent in the country, is 16-18. They were 3-9 in 2007 and 7-6 last season, including a loss to Syracuse, possibly the worst program of any BCS conference.
Weis was a successful offensive coordinator with the New England Patriots, although we don’t know how much of their winning and his success was honest. He has been a poor head coach at Notre Dame.
With players like quarterback Jimmy Clausen and a wide receiver like Golden Tate, the Irish have talent. They're not going to be a pushover. They played 11th-ranked USC tough before losing by seven in what might be their best performance of the season.
Pitt has a better team and a better coach. The Panthers should win by a comfortable margin.
Posted
Nov 11 2009, 12:30 AM
by
Bob Smizik